An Analysis of Pre-NHL Leagues: Our Top 25 Around the World

Since the creation of the Advanced Bracton score in 2014, and the beginning of our data collection in 2007, one of its biggest flaws was predicting the success of the incoming rookie classes. These players entered the league through various levels of the game, whether it be major junior leagues such as the OHL, WHL, and QMJHL in Canada, National Development programs in the United States, or professional men’s leagues in Sweden, Russia, Germany, or Finland. We have data on 1,992 NHL individual players since the beginning of the 2007-08 season, and all but 56 of them are included in this study. The purpose of this study was not only to give us a better idea as to where these 1,992 players played prior to the NHL, but to analyze which specific programs produce the most quality players according to our metric. Throughout the article you will get an explanation of the process we undertook to produce this end result, information on the methodology behind the study, as well as a detailed Top 25 list of programs outside the NHL who scored the highest in our system.  

Before we list the Top 25, we must first detail the process and rules determining how the end result came to be. We had to go through the list of 1,992 individual players and determine where each of them played their pre-NHL hockey (shoutout HockeyDB for the reference). This was more difficult than it may seem, as some players spent time with multiple programs. In these instances, we first looked at the amount of games played for each team, and then examined whether the time spent with a certain program was in close proximity to the player’s eventual NHL season. We made the determination based off of that criteria. In order to be included, each program needed at least two players, and there were 56 programs registering a single player. We anticipate this addition to our collection of resources will continue to grow over time, and we will make the necessary adjustments to it as more players enter the league, or we find more data from before 2007. If players from one of those 56 teams are drafted in the future, we will add it to the database. For now however, 169 teams qualified to be in this study. However, the last major condition of inclusion was that the players in this study must have been drafted in 2007 or made his NHL debut during the 2007-08 season. Players such as Joe Thornton, Patrick Marleau, Alex Ovechkin, and Sidney Crosby, are not included despite the fact we have over half or the majority of their career data. Naturally, this hurts some program’s standings in our rankings (obviously the Rimouski Oceanic would’ve been higher had Crosby’s numbers actually counted). However, we tried to be fair in our point system for players of this condition.

Now let us explain the methodology behind the overall team score. Teams were evaluated on how many of the 1,992 players were developed by their program according to the criteria in the previous paragraph, what their rookie season AB score was, and whether or not those players are actually career-positive AB players currently. For the players such as Thornton, Marleau, Ovechkin, and Crosby like we mentioned above, we gave each team a point for having produced an NHL caliber player and negated their career AB and 1st year AB in the overall calculation. We thought this would be the fairest way to do it, as the data from the player’s rookie year was unavailable and we lacked all of the proper information. The point system we used to evaluate these programs is a new metric we created called the Sum of Ranges. In order to accurately count the number of players who were developed by a certain program, we used the Count If function in excel, and created frequency distribution charts for all 169 teams. We then assigned a point value to the following ranges. If a player scored a -1 AB score as a rookie or lower, we would assign a value of 0. If a player scored within the range of -1 to 0, we would assign a value of 1. If a player scored within the range of 0 to 2, we would assign a value of 2. If a player scored within the range of 2 to 4, we would assign a value of 3. If a player scored within the range of 4 to 8, we would assign a value of 4. If a player registered a score above +8, we would assign a value of 5. We did this to determine which of the players a program produced had effective starts to their NHL careers, and whether or not said program adequately prepared the player for NHL play. Lastly, we would combine the overall Career AB numbers from each of the players into one sum, and subtract that number from the sum of the total players produced by the program and the sum of ranges (Formula= (Sum of Ranges+ Total players)-career AB). It is also worth noting that if an AB score happened to fall exactly on the edge of one of these ranges, we factored it into the higher of the ranges. For example, Max Jones of the London Knights registered an even 0 AB score during his rookie season in 2018-19, and we gave the Knights 2 points as opposed to 1. In total, there were 11 total players that were eligible for this distinction. Lastly, for our reference, we also included the average rookie AB score of each program. It was not factored into the overall equation.

It is also important to note that there were various teams across the WHL, OHL, and QMJHL that rebranded or relocated to different markets, as well as some expansion franchises. The teams included in this study are representative of the league’s landscapes in today’s world, with players on older franchise’s team being included with the modern ones. For example, players from the Niagara Falls Thunder were factored into the Erie Otters’ overall calculation, and players of the Owen Sound Platers were factored into the Owen Sound Attack’s overall calculation. It would be as if we factored Atlanta Thrashers team history into an overall calculation of the Winnipeg Jets. They’re still the same organization just under a different city, name, and re-brand. To give an example of one of these players, Matt Stajan played for the Belleville Bulls from 2001-2003. The Bulls later moved to Hamilton and became the Hamilton Bulldogs. Often times, these specific players, such as Stajan, played NHL seasons dating prior to 2007, which caused their AB numbers and range number to be omitted. In total, there were 27 programs who have combined scores of organization’s pasts.

With all the necessary background information finally out of the way, we can move on to the actual rankings, starting with #25, and eventually leading up to #1. Please note that all players listed in Red’s AB numbers are omitted from the final equation and remember that the numbers you do see for these players in red aren’t reflective of their actual NHL rookie season numbers. All players in red count as just one point towards the team’s total amount of players. The numbers at the very bottom of the attached tables show the numbers used to calculate the overall scores.

#25- University of Minnesota, Big-10, Total Score= +30.06

The University of Minnesota produced 30 players in our database since 2007-08, and of those 30 players, we have full career data on 21. The Sum of the Ranges for the University of Minnesota was 31. They had a +0.14 average rookie AB score, and a combined -30.94 total career AB of their 21 eligible players.

U. of Minnesota1st year ABCareer AB
Jordan Leopold-0.83-2.22
Wyatt Smith-5.47-5.47
Jeff Taffe3.252.00
Phil Kessel-1.55-3.77
John Pohl-7.22-7.22
Keith Ballard1.02-0.23
Paul Martin10.235.25
Thomas Vanek-2.64-3.29
Ryan Potulny-10.91-10.91
Vinni Lettieri-2.31-6.10
Derek Peltier-5.41-5.41
Nate Schmidt3.86.26
Alex Goligoski2.34-0.92
Brady Skjei2.3-5.67
Kyle Okposo0.67-4.55
Jordan Schroeder-0.850.20
Nick Leddy-1.09-2.09
Aaron Ness-10.14-3.30
Blake Wheeler17.133.16
Ryan Lindgren8.568.56
Travis Boyd3.994.52
Erik Haula2.541.61
Ryan Stoa2.04-0.71
Seth Helgeson-1.99-4.98
Stu Bickel-2.78-10.50
Mike Reilly-3.59-4.40
Nick Bjugstad-3.97-2.59
Erik Johnson-5.7-2.38
Justin Holl-1.25-0.29
Kyle Rau-1.37-1.37
300.14-30.94

#24- Spokane Chiefs, WHL, Total Score=+30.07

The Spokane Chiefs produced 13 players in our database since 2007-08, and of those 13 players, we have full career data on 8. The Sum of Ranges for the Chiefs was 9. They had a -0.82 average rookie AB score, and a combined +8.07 career AB score of their 8 eligible players.

Spokane Chiefs1st year ABCareer AB
Kurt Sauer4.891.26
Ray Whitney-3.331.96
Jon Klemm-8.63-8.63
Bryan McCabe-9.93-5.62
Trent Whitfield-0.93-0.93
Drayson Bowman-1-0.55
Justin Falk-2.11-5.08
Jared Cowen-3.86-3.96
Derek Ryan-4.550.46
Kailer Yamamoto1.995.79
Tyler Johnson1.436.23
Michael Grabner1.352.42
Jared Spergeon0.232.74
13-0.828.07

#23- Vancouver Giants, WHL, Total Score=+31.78

The Vancouver Giants produced 17 players in our database since 2007-08, and of those 17 players, we have full career data on 15. The Sum of Ranges for the Giants was 26. They had a +0.27 average rookie AB score, and a combined -11.22 career AB score of their 15 eligible players.

Vancouver Giants1st year ABCareer AB
Andrej Meszaros1.56-2.77
Gilbert Brule0.6-2.86
Evander Kane3.96-4.06
Cody Franson3.71-2.96
Michal Repik3.13-0.25
Brett Festerling2.861.65
Jonathon Blum2.04-1.37
Brendan Gallagher7.255.11
Lance Bouma4.411.91
Milan Lucic0.451.09
Spencer Machacek-12.68
Mark Fistric-1.71-1.31
Jordan Martinook-1.89-4.92
Craig Cunningham-3.64-2.05
James Wright-4.23-1.65
Kevin Connauton-4.42-3.32
Brett Kulak-6.86-1.78
170.27-11.22

#22- Brynas IF Gavle, SHL, Total Score=+31.9

The Brynas IF Gavle hockey club produced 10 players in our database since 2007-08, and of those 10 players, we have full career data on 8. The Sum of Ranges for the Brynas IF Gavle was 16. They had an average rookie AB score of +0.81, and a combined +5.87 Career AB of their 8 eligible players.

Brynas IF Gavle1st year ABCareer AB
Frederik Modin-4.08-4.08
Niclas Wallin-12.67-6.54
Calle Jarnkrok0.823.94
Christian Djoos6.195.30
Elias Lindholm-7.26-2.77
Jakob Silfverberg5.073.12
Johan Larsson-0.92-2.84
Jesper Boqvist-4.5-4.50
Nicklas Backstrom9.854.71
Oskar Lindblom-2.75-1.08
100.815.87

#21- Miami University (Ohio), NCHC, Total Score=+33.06

The University of Miami (Ohio) produced 14 players in our database since 2007-08, and of those 14 players, we have full career data on 10. The Sum of Ranges for Miami (Ohio) was 17. They had an average rookie AB score of -0.24, and a combined +2.06 Career AB of their 10 eligible players.

Miami University (Ohio)1st year ABCareer AB
Andy Greene-2.07-1.21
Kevyn Adams-2.59-2.59
Dan Boyle-17.6-1.20
Randy Robitaille2.542.54
Alec Martinez2.53-0.54
Kieffer Sherwood0.610.61
Austin Czarnik-0.960.15
Sean Kuraly-1.32-0.06
Curtis McKenzie-4.10.33
Chris Wideman-4.91-4.71
Blake Coleman-8.31-3.60
Tommy Wingels5.940.83
Ryan Jones5.181.98
Reilly Smith2.917.08
14-0.242.06

#20-U-Mass-Amherst, H-East, Total Score=+33.60

The University of Massachusetts (Amherst)  produced 11 players in our database since 2007-08, and of those 11 players, we have full career data on 9. The Sum of Ranges for U-Mass Amherst was 16. They had an average rookie AB score of +0.82, and a combined +6.60 Career AB of their 9 eligible players.

Umass-Amherst1st year ABCareer AB
Thomas Poeck-8.96-8.96
Greg Mauldin0.030.03
Brandon Montour4.65-0.19
Conor Sheary1.672.06
Casey Wellman5.441.93
Joel Hanley-0.060.44
Matt Irwin-0.850.55
Justin Braun-1.74-0.21
Frank Vatrano-1.8-2.36
Mike Kostka-5.97-1.66
Cale Makar6.046.04
110.826.60

#19- Brandon Wheat Kings, WHL, Total Score= +33.90

The Brandon Wheat Kings produced 20 players in our database since 2007-08, and of those 20 players, we have full career data on 14. The Sum of Ranges for the Wheat Kings was 20. They had an average rookie AB score of -0.97, and a combined -6.10 Career AB of their 14 eligible players.

Brandon Wheat Kings1st Yr ABCareer AB
Eric Fehr9.484.82
Jordin Tootoo-2.44-1.47
Ole-Kristian Tollefsen-4.73-0.99
Peter Schaefer4.471.60
Ryan Craig-1.4-1.40
Wade Redden1.850.04
Alexander Urbom0.360.36
Brayden Schenn-1.230.14
Colby Robak-0.54-0.44
Ivan Provorov-6.63-1.79
Jayce Hawryluk0.37-0.81
John Quenneville0.610.61
Keith Aulie-6.18-7.03
Mark Stone2.847.22
Matt Calvert4.59-0.39
Michael Ferland0.78-0.70
Nolan Patrick0.97-0.58
Ryan Pulock1.612.16
Ryan Reaves-9.54-3.23
Ryan Stone-1.62-1.62
20-0.97-6.10

#18- Halifax Mooseheads, QMJHL, Total Score=+34.22

The Halifax Mooseheads produced 17 players in our database since 2007-08, and of those 17 players, we have full career data on 11. The Sum of Ranges for the Mooseheads was 24. They had an average rookie AB score of +1.49, and a combined -6.78 Career AB of their 11 eligible players.

Halifax Mooseheads1st year ABCareer AB
Alex Tanguay3.70.58
Alexandre Picard-4.66-1.58
Ladislav Nagy-0.14-0.14
Jody Shelley-6.87-4.73
Joe DiPenta3.793.79
Milan Jurcina-2.01-8.32
Mackenzie Weegar0.25-0.89
Martin Frk-8.37-4.80
Jonathan Drouin2.19-4.05
Nathan MacKinnon14.15.18
Nico Hischier11.382.79
Nikolaj Ehlers3.476.43
Petr Vrana-2.06-2.06
Timo Meier1.160.25
Andrew Bodnarchuk-4.37-4.37
Filip Zadina-5.59-5.89
Jakub Voracek4.250.63
171.49-6.78

#17-Djugardens IF Stockholm, SHL, Total Score=+34.4

The Djugardens IF Stockholm hockey club produced 16 players in our database since 2007-08, and of those 16 players, we have full career data on 9. The Sum of Ranges for the Djugardens IF Stockholm club was 21. They had an average rookie AB score of +1.44, and a combined -2.60 Career AB of their 9 eligible players.

Djugardens IF Stockholm1st year ABCareer AB
Daniel Tjarnqvist-2.42-2.42
Patrick Thorsen-2.23-2.23
Niklas Kronwall8.9-4.43
Staffan Kronwall4.930.79
Marcus Nilson3.573.57
Mathias Tjarnqvist1.481.48
Mats Sundin7.971.46
Mika Zibanejad6.220.39
Patric Hornqvist0.955.98
Pontus Aberg-7.12-7.12
Andreas Englund-3.23-3.23
Marcus Sorensen4.842.81
Frederik Claesson-4.37-1.78
Gabriel Landeskog9.082.07
Jacob Josefson0.57-1.13
Marcus Kruger5.99-0.59
161.44-2.60

#16- U.S. National Development, USA Hockey, Total Score=+35.35

The United States National Development hockey team produced 15 players in our database since 2007-08, and we have full career data on all 15. The Sum of Ranges for the U.S. National Development team was 24. They had an average rookie AB score of -0.69, and a combined -3.65 Career AB of their 15 eligible players.

U.S. National Development1st year ABCareer AB
Jerry D’Amigo15.5315.53
Jeremy Morin8.114.48
Auston Matthews5.497.66
Jack Roslovic4.873.05
Joel Farabee1.731.73
Jacob Trouba0.96-0.46
Jason Zucker0.073.37
Clayton Keller-1.37-3.97
Stefan Matteau-1.99-2.10
J.T. Miller-2.572.06
Blake Pietila-3.3-3.30
Connor Carrick-6.95-4.17
Justin Faulk-8.58-6.73
Jack Hughes-11.12-11.12
Colin White-11.21-9.69
15-0.69-3.65

#15- Ottawa 67’s, OHL, Total Score= +36.04

The Ottawa 67’s produced 23 players in our database since 2007-08, and of those 23 players, we have full career data on 12. The Sum of Ranges for the Ottawa 67’s team was 15. They had an average rookie AB score of -1.13 and a combined -1.96 Career AB of their 12 eligible players.

Ottawa 67’s1st year ABCareer AB
Brendan Bell-5.2-5.20
Gary Roberts-5.21-3.69
Chris Simon-6.38-6.38
Michael Peca-7.69-7.81
Kris Draper-7.8-5.48
Brian Campbell1.082.69
Matt Foy-0.47-0.47
Shean Donovan-0.53-1.69
Nick Boynton-10.27-4.32
Mark Bell-14.11-14.11
Zenon Konopka-4.21-9.47
Cody Ceci-3.95-5.60
Mark Mancari-4.38-4.38
Jacob Middleton-4.84-4.84
Tyler Toffoli-1.415.33
Derek Joslin-1.44-2.36
Jamie McGinn-3.06-3.48
Sean Monahan-9.45-0.94
Bryan Bickell5.242.39
Lukas Kaspar3.23.20
Tyler Graovac2.712.71
Logan Couture2.263.53
Travis Konecny1.62.48
23-1.13-1.96

14- U. of Minnesota-Duluth, NCHC, Total Score=+36.68

The University of Minnesota-Duluth produced 15 players in our database since 2007-08, and we have full career data on all 15. The Sum of Ranges for Minnesota-Duluth was 25. They had an average rookie AB score of +0.32 and a combined -3.32 Career AB of their 15 eligible players.

U. of Minnesota-Duluth1st year ABCareer AB
Matt Niskanen8.61.59
Carson Soucy8.278.27
Alex Iafallo6.91-0.54
Mason Raymond5.72.61
Dominic Toninato2.491.29
Justin Fontaine1.353.60
Karson Kuhlman0.170.39
Dylan Olsen-2.66-3.41
J.T. Brown-2.72-0.63
Andy Welinski-2.77-2.77
Jason Garrison-3.27-1.20
Neal Pionk-3.39-2.84
Joey Anderson-3.7-1.64
Junior Lessard-3.97-3.97
Tim Stapleton-6.26-4.06
150.32-3.32

#13- Portland Winterhawks, WHL, Total Score=+37.97

The Portland Winterhawks produced 35 players in our database since 2007-08 (4th most in the study), and of those 35 players, we have full career data on 22. The Sum of Ranges for the Winterhawks was 31. They had an average rookie AB score of -1.21 and a combined -28.03 Career AB of their 22 eligible players.

Portland Winterhawks1st year ABCareer AB
Brenden Morrow12.65-1.77
Scott Nichol7.58-0.42
Braydon Coburn5.07-1.36
Dave Scatchard3.673.67
Marian Hossa1.889.63
Marcel Hossa1.271.27
Brad Isbister-0.19-0.19
Matt Walker-0.96-3.33
Nolan Pratt-1.9-1.90
Glen Wesley-2.24-2.24
Richard Zednik-2.83-1.17
Paul Gaustad-3-2.00
Andrew Ference-8.07-2.43
Michael Sauer9.256.23
Oliver Bjorkstrand8.45.31
Brandon Dubinsky7.821.29
Sven Baertschi5.73-0.82
Frazer McLaren5.52-1.89
Jannik Hansen3.73.11
Joe Morrow2.64-0.89
Nic Petan1.09-3.11
Brendan Mikkelson-0.31-2.27
Colton Sceviour-1.650.07
Taylor Leier-1.95-1.95
Cody McLeod-2.26-6.15
Cody Glass-3.05-3.05
Ty Rattie-3.12-1.03
Ryan Johansen-3.16-1.38
Brendan Leipsic-3.33-2.64
Tyler Wotherspoon-4.33-2.26
Derrick Pouliot-4.94-5.24
Henri Jokiharju-7.91-8.24
Caleb Jones-8.09-4.01
Seth Jones-13.21-0.43
Nino Niederreiter-13.351.31
35-1.21-28.03

#12- Medicine Hat Tigers, WHL, Total Score=+41.22

The Medicine Hat Tigers produced 20 players in our database since 2007-08 and of those 20 players, we have full career data on 10. The Sum of Ranges for the Tigers was 18. They had an average rookie AB score of +1.63 and a combined +3.22 Career AB of their 10 eligible players.

Medicine Hat Tigers1st year ABCareer AB
Trevor Linden1.051.05
Derek Boogaard-0.78-6.89
Joffrey Lupul6.94-0.02
Cam Barker-3.89-5.48
Rob Niedermayer1.93-4.76
Josh Green-7.89-7.89
Ryan Hollweg-8.4-9.43
Jay Bouwmeester-9.19-2.62
Clarke MacArthur-2.05-0.60
Jason Chimera-3.1-1.84
Tyler Ennis-3.18-1.46
David Schlemko-1.46-2.77
Kris Russell-6.13-0.86
Tomas Kundratek-1.16-1.16
Linden Vey-1.2-3.79
Darren Helm13.434.30
Stefan Meyer8.048.04
Tyler Pitlick1.832.34
Derek Dorsett1.36-2.51
Emerson Etem4.81.08
201.633.22

#11- Harvard University, ECAC, Total Score=+41.86

The Harvard University hockey program produced 15 players in our database since 2007-08 and of those 15 players, we have full career data on 11. The Sum of Ranges for Harvard was 17. They had an average rookie AB score of -0.48 and a combined +9.86 Career AB (4th highest in study) of their 11 eligible players.

Harvard University1st year ABCareer AB
Craig Adams-1.86-2.51
Craig MacDonald-1.98-1.98
Dominic Moore2.52-0.95
Noah Welch-6.79-6.79
Colin Blackwell5.245.24
Alexander Kerfoot-3.85-4.29
Adam Fox8.478.47
Danny Biega0.830.83
Alex Biega-6.35-6.06
Dylan Reese-5.92-5.02
Jimmy Vesey-4.14-1.61
John Marino8.648.64
Alex Killorn-2.934.33
Ryan Donato-4.380.28
Tom Cavanagh-0.94-0.94
15-0.489.86

#10- Skelleftea AIK, SHL, Total Score=+42.81

The Skelleftea AIK hockey club produced 16 players in our database since 2007-08 and we have full career data for all 16. The Sum of Ranges for Skelleftea was 22. They had an average rookie AB score of -0.16 and a combined +4.81 Career AB of their 16 eligible players.

Skelleftea AIK1st year ABCareer AB
David Rundblad7.491.92
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2.361.32
Par Lindholm1.783.02
John Klingberg1.570.80
Oscar Moller1.190.76
Marcus Pettersson0.453.00
Oscar Lindberg0.15-2.84
Oskar Sundqvist0.151.36
Anton Lindholm0.120.12
Melker Karlsson-10.28
Peter Granberg-1.28-1.28
Tim Heed-1.35-1.59
Sebastian Aho-1.96-1.96
Tim Erixon-2.9-2.92
Viktor Arvidsson-4.584.23
Adam Larsson-4.75-1.40
16-0.164.81

#9- University of Notre Dame, Big-10, Total Score=+46.19

The University of Notre Dame produced 18 players in our database since 2007-08 and of those 18 players, we have full career data on 15. The Sum of Ranges for Notre Dame was 25. They had an average rookie AB score of +0.79 and a combined +3.19 Career AB of their 15 eligible players.

Notre Dame1st year ABCareer AB
Brett Lebda-3.09-4.93
Mark Eaton2.85-1.24
Yan Stastny0-1.86
Jake Evans1.641.64
Kyle Palmieri-0.531.69
Erik Condra-0.561.39
Andrew Peeke-0.63-0.63
Ian Cole-1.540.84
Christian Hanson-2.37-2.37
Bryan Rust2.576.07
Dennis Gilbert-4.89-4.89
Anders Lee-6.17-0.84
Vinnie Hinostroza10.063.50
Riley Sheahan6.79-1.83
Tim Wallace5.270.25
T.J. Tynan-2.33-2.33
Stephen Johns-3.16-3.55
Anders Bjork7.74.28
180.793.19

#8- Gatineau Olympiques, QMJHL, Total Score=+46.61

The Gatineau Olympiques produced 14 players in our database since 2007-08 and of those 14 players, we have full career data on 8. The Sum of Ranges for the Olympiques was 17. They had an average rookie AB score of +2.15 (3rd highest in study of teams with 10+ players) and a combined +15.61 Career AB of their 14 eligible players (1st in entire study).

Gatineau Olympiques1st year ABCareer AB
Colin White-4.45-1.05
Jeremy Roenick-5.79-3.31
Martin Gelinas3.653.65
Maxime Talbot3.37-0.80
Michael Ryder-0.252.35
Radim Vrbata4.32-1.22
Philippe Dupuis-0.3-2.30
Claude Giroux8.044.36
David Krejci-1.715.54
Jean-Gabriel Pageau-0.432.00
Paul Byron3.574.13
Tye McGinn8.382.27
Yakov Trenin0.630.63
Zack MacEwen-1.02-1.02
142.1515.61

#7- U. of Michigan, Big-10, Total Score=+59.37

The University of Michigan produced 38 players in our database since 2007-08 (2nd most in study behind London Knights) and of those 38 players, we have full career data on 26. The Sum of Ranges for the University of Michigan was 48 (2nd best in the study behind Barrie Colts). They had an average rookie AB score of +0.37 and a combined -26.63 Career AB of their 26 eligible players.

U. of Michigan1st year ABCareer AB
Andy Hilbert3.051.39
John Madden2.53-0.39
Jeff Tambellini-7.35-5.51
Mike Cammalleri-7.86-2.51
Mike Van Ryn-8.18-7.01
Mike Comrie-11.47-4.46
Jed Ortmeyer-4.59-1.20
Mike Knuble-4.93-1.21
David Moss0.1-1.30
Aaron Ward-0.02-2.30
Brendan Morrison-0.893.53
Mike Komisarek2.03-6.64
Kevin Porter1.82-1.43
Tyler Motte1.28-0.98
J.T. Compher1.26-2.45
Dwight Helminen0.80.80
Eric Nystrom-0.11-3.61
T.J. Hensick-0.39-2.58
Phil Di Giuseppe-1.6-3.01
Jon Merrill-2.22-4.11
Boo Nieves-3.12-1.49
Matt Hunwick-3.52-2.46
Luke Glendening-3.85-3.38
Chris Summers-4-6.00
Greg Pateryn -4.3-4.55
Quinn Hughes-5.16-5.16
Andrew Cogliano3.711.96
Zach Hyman3.596.96
Aaron Palushaj3.223.11
Max Pacioretty3.182.96
Mike Brown-11.5-4.75
Jack Johnson-14.36-5.66
Carl Hagelin11.475.55
Dylan Larkin8.07-4.97
Zach Werenski7.732.37
Andrew Ebbett7.51.51
Andrew Copp5.425.82
Steven Kampfer4.8-1.08
380.37-26.63

#6- London Knights, OHL, Total Score=+59.42

The London Knights produced 40 players in our database since 2007-08 (most in study) and of those 40 players, we have full career data on 27. The Sum of Ranges for the Knights was 38 (tied for 6th in study with Kitchener Rangers). They had an average rookie AB score of -0.98 and a combined -18.58 Career AB of their 27 eligible players.

London Knights1st year ABCareer AB
John Erskine-13.79-4.98
Corey Perry4.131.79
Dave Bolland5.3-0.76
Danny Syvret-5.25-5.25
Brandon Prust-6.53-1.52
Krys Barch-1.5-7.23
Brendan Shanahan-2.01-5.65
Rick Nash3.665.27
Rob Schremp0.08-0.76
Dennis Wideman2.66-2.39
Marc Methot1.59-0.75
Tom Kostopoulos-7.05-2.69
Chris Kelly1.94-0.16
Victor Mete1.712.96
John Carlson1.212.81
Dakota Mermis0.770.77
Mitch Marner0.684.51
Josh Anderson0.092.78
Vladislav Namestnikov2.110.88
Max Jones0-2.10
Patrick Kane-0.444.53
Adam Boqvist-1.3-1.30
Seth Griffith-1.39-1.39
Robert Thomas-1.465.04
Sergei Kostitsyn3.361.85
Jarred Tinordi-3.03-4.48
Bo Horvat-3.9-4.32
Zac Rinaldo-4.44-5.73
Philp McRae-5.1-5.10
Olli Maatta3.873.32
Max Domi2.140.15
Scott Harrington-6.68-2.66
Michael McCarron-8.46-5.66
Sam Gagner-9.39-5.99
Nikita Zadorov-11.1-5.55
Phil Varone-11.68-6.45
Pat Maroon5.160.18
Christian Dvorak4.34-1.01
Matthew Tkachuk9.674.61
Chris Tierney6.77-1.26
40-0.98-18.58

#5 Barrie Colts, OHL, Total Score=+60.89

The Barrie Colts produced 20 players in our database since 2007-08 and of those 20 players, we have full career data on 18. The Sum of Ranges for the Colts was 49 (1st in entire study). They had an average rookie AB score of +2.72 (1st in study of teams with 10+ players) and a combined -8.11 Career AB of their 18 eligible players.

Barrie Colts1st year ABCareer AB
Erik Reitz-3.63-3.63
Martin Skoula-10.84-6.23
Aaron Ekblad5.57-0.58
Alexander Burmistrov3.47-0.21
Andreas Athanasiou12.91-3.57
Andrei Svechnikov-4.12-0.97
Andrew Mangiapane4.655.25
B.J. Crombeen-2.02-5.25
Brendan Lemieux5.770.93
Brian Lashoff-8.07-6.69
Bryan Little-0.170.99
Dalton Prout6.34-4.25
Darren Archibald6.033.22
Jake Dotchin3.910.41
Kevin Labanc2.53-5.09
Kyle Clifford-7.39-2.89
Mark Scheifele6.688.50
Rasmus Andersson8.632.58
Ryan Hamilton0.5-3.96
Tanner Pearson3.73.47
202.72-8.11

#4- Boston College, H-East, Total Score=+64.11

The Boston College Hockey Program produced 33 players in our database since 2007-08 (tied for 6th best in study with U. of Wisconsin) and of those 33 players, we have full career data on 20. The Sum of Ranges for Boston College was 40 (4th best in study). They had an average rookie AB score of +0.49 and a combined -8.89 Career AB of their 20 eligible players.

Boston College1st Yr ABCareer AB
Andrew Alberts-4.25-2.37
Bill Guerin-9.27-6.56
Bobby Allen0.080.08
Brian Gionta1.950.50
Brooks Orpik3.783.21
Jeff Giuliano-6.3-6.30
Krys Kolanos-0.21-0.37
Marty Reasoner-10.93-2.35
Mike Mottau-7.45-1.97
Patrick Eaves4.710.89
Peter Harrold4.36-1.96
Rob Scuderi-0.510.72
Ryan Shannon-6.16-2.23
Alex Tuch0.662.32
Ben Smith-0.441.06
Benn Ferriero3.142.94
Benoit Pouliot13.381.87
Brian Boyle-14.5-3.61
Brian Dumoulin5.763.45
Brian Gibbons5.1-4.98
Cam Atkinson-2.542.19
Chris Kreider0.912.58
Jimmy Hayes-1.16-2.64
Johnny Gaudreau8.33.51
Kevin Hayes6.921.47
Michael Matheson-3.15-5.40
Miles Wood-9.12-6.82
Nathan Gerbe6.170.11
Noah Hanifin-8.67-6.03
Paul Carey3.96-1.56
Stephen Gionta-1.430.55
Steven Santini-5.63-3.86
Zach Sanford2.143.88
330.49-8.89

#3- Windsor Spitfires, OHL, Total Score=+66.01

The Windsor Spitfires produced 24 players in our database since 2007-08 and of those 24 players, we have full career data on 17. The Sum of Ranges for the Spitfires was 35 (8th highest in study). They had an average rookie AB score of +0.58 and a combined +7.01 Career AB (8th highest in study) of their 17 eligible players.

Windsor Spitfires1st year ABCareer AB
Jason Spezza11.67-3.98
Ed Jovanovski-8.73-5.71
Cam Janssen-9.71-6.63
Matt Cooke1.182.81
Tim Gleason0.87-1.09
Cory Stillman-1.62-0.35
Steve Ott3.09-3.11
Gabriel Vilardi2.622.62
Cal O’Reilly2.550.69
Mikhail Sergachev1.373.29
Andrei Loktionov1.030.07
Taylor Hall0.94-0.34
Josh Ho-Sang0.611.42
Logan Brown0.60.60
Kerby Rychel-1.22-1.22
Steve Downie-3.230.74
Josh Bailey-6-2.32
Christian Fischer-6.74-3.50
Cam Fowler-13.02-3.85
Adam Henrique7.140.44
Eric Wellwood7.067.06
Ryan Ellis7.067.52
Mike Weber5.77-7.78
Tom Kuhnhackl3.321.59
240.587.01

#2- U. of Wisconsin, Big-10, Total Score=+68.58

The University of Wisconsin produced 33 players in our database since 2007-08 (Tied for 6th most in study with Boston College) and of those 33 players, we have full career data on 22. The Sum of Ranges for Wisconsin was 39 (Tied for 4th highest in study with Erie Otters). They had an average rookie AB score of +0.06 and a combined -3.42 Career AB of their 22 eligible players.

U. of Wisconsin1st year ABCareer AB
Dany Heatley14.630.54
Brian Rafalski10.677.38
David Tanabe-6.63-6.63
Andy Wozniewski-14.33-14.33
Sean Hill-17.08-17.08
Steve Reinprecht0.890.53
Ryan Suter-0.180.88
Rene Bourque4.02-2.96
Tom Gilbert-3.91-3.48
Brad Winchester-5.13-4.17
Chris Chelios3.020.31
Jake McCabe2.52-3.97
Brendan Smith2.4-3.29
Blake Geoffrion1.650.11
Jake Dowell1.40.53
Michael Mersch44.00
Joe Pavelski3.476.37
Ben Street-0.94-1.47
Justin Schultz-0.98-2.95
Cody Goloubef-1.53-3.76
Trent Frederic-1.84-1.84
Jake Gardiner-1.94-2.67
Davis Drewiske-3.39-2.71
Adam Burish-4.93-1.23
Luke Kunin-5.37-5.99
Craig Smith-5.893.51
Kyle Turris-6.220.89
Joseph Labate-6.36-6.36
Ryan McDonagh6.738.59
Derek Stepan5.045.28
Jamie McBain4.72-1.45
Robbie Earl4.644.64
Jack Skille4.10.37
330.06-3.42

#1- Erie Otters, OHL, Total Score=+73.45

The Erie Otters hockey program produced 28 players in our database since 2007-08 and of those 28 players, we have full career data on 16. The Sum of Ranges for the Otters was 39 (Tied for 4th highest in study with U. of Wisconsin). They had an average rookie AB score of +2.12 (4th highest in study of teams with 10+ players) and a combined +6.45 Career AB (5th best in study of teams with 10+ players) of their 16 eligible players.

Erie Otters1st year ABCareer AB
Brad Boyes2.12-0.52
Carlo Calaiacovo-0.7-2.13
Chris Campoli-0.57-1.79
Jason Ward-10.6-10.60
Mike Rupp-2.75-4.47
Steve Montador-4.26-1.57
Tim Connolly4.930.77
Brad May-0.5-4.33
Ethan Moreau-6.9-9.96
Greg de Vries1.31-4.90
Jay McKee-1.830.28
Steve Staios-11.76-7.72
Travis Dermott8.63.10
Adam Pelech-2.421.48
Alex DeBrincat4.60.29
Andre Burakovsky8.914.61
Anthony Peluso-1.8-8.37
Connor Brown3.742.16
Connor McDavid3.148.36
Dylan Strome0.66-0.66
Erik Cernak12.287.90
Greg McKegg0.6-0.77
Kurtis MacDermid-9.1-8.08
Luke Gazdic-2.96-2.67
Mike Blunden1.530.09
Nick Palmieri5.380.13
Ryan O’Marra-3.55-3.55
Ryan O’Reilly4.322.42
282.126.45

After working relentlessly for two weeks to produce these rankings, we are not very surprised by these results. One of the main purposes of the AB metric in general is to measure intelligence, and to find out that 36% of our Top 25 were college teams made sense. Harvard, Wisconsin, Michigan, Notre Dame, and Amherst are considered to be some of the most elite schools in America, and our findings confirm that. Granted, college hockey competition may not be as fierce as junior and pro leagues across the world, however the star players showed their greatness and it reflected long term into this study. It was also very interesting to see that the OHL and WHL were both equally represented in our Top 25 (five teams each), and to see that the QMJHL may be the weakest of the three CHL leagues when it comes to our metric. We can also infer, based on these results, that the most competitive leagues outside of North America are domiciled in Sweden, as three Swedish teams cracked our Top 25. This data is going to be used for so many future projects pertaining to how rookies perform in their debut seasons, as well as determining draft winners/losers on this website for years to come. Thank you so much for reading if you made it this far and stay tuned for much more to come.

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