So far, of the 52 players we track relative to their AB scores from the prior season, only 11 of them had positive ABs last year (and none over 2 goals scored at the margin). This is an interesting statistic to us and we expect this trend to continue as NHL teams focus on their final rosters.
Speaking of which, we may have to readjust our rankings slightly as rosters are finalized. We didn’t realize that some of the (mostly apparently foolish) moves made this week in adding guys that will cost goals could have in almost all cases a significantly negative effect on our predictions of team success. So we’ll keep you posted.